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But when I read posts like yours, I usually only need one guess as to how that person voted in the last two elections.
No need to guess. I think I mentioned it in a thread some time back. Since my first vote in 1964, the only time I didn't vote for the Democratic presidential candidate was in 1980, when I supported the independent run of John Anderson and his proposed 50 cent gas tax.
Apparently I missed the thread where you made that announcement. In any event, it's probably not a good idea for me to be hazarding guesses without knowing what the voting criteria of those who suggest there's no difference between McCain and Obama.